Retrieval-Augmented Multimodal Language Model with Heterogeneous Evidence Integration for Clinical Prognosis

Clinical prognosis requires integrating structured measurements, physiological waveforms, longitudinal history, and population context. We introduce PRISM (Population-Retrieved Inference for Structured Multimodal Prognosis), a multimodal language model that combines per-feature numerical tokenization, recency-weighted aggregation of longitudinal ECGs, and a dual-modality population memory bank. Retrieval operates in representation space: the model receives mean-pooled embeddings of similar training-cohort encounters, while no individual retrieved record enters the prompt. On the 1,443-task MDS-ED benchmark, PRISM achieves AUROCs of 86.2% for diagnosis, 93.1% for deterioration, 91.8% for ICU admission, and 92.8% for mortality. These results use a 96-hour pre-arrival window unavailable to re